Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4638
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 4638 · COS → DEN
departs 2:51 PM MT · arrives 3:43 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 18%
Tue 11/17 27%
Wed 11/18 23%
Thu 11/19 21%
Fri 11/20 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
COS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.