Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4743
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 4743 · AMA → DEN
departs 5:20 PM CT · arrives 6:06 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 22%
Tue 11/17 30%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 24%
Fri 11/20 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at AMA that day
↓
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.09 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.