Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4954 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 7:17 PM CT (2 H 25 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Sunday, November 15 Today

OO 4954 · SAT → LAX

departs 4:38 PM CT · arrives 6:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.32 in

LAX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4954 · SAT → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?