Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4956
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 4956 · DFW → COS
departs 3:39 PM CT · arrives 4:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 34%
Tue 11/17 21%
Wed 11/18 23%
Thu 11/19 30%
Fri 11/20 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±6 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at COS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to COS?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.36 in
COS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.