Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4979
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 4979 · LAX → SMF
departs 9:26 PM PT · arrives 11:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 19%
Tue 11/17 16%
Wed 11/18 13%
Thu 11/19 19%
Fri 11/20 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at SMF that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SMF (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.