OO 5204 · ABQ → PDX

departs 7:00 PM MT · arrives 9:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

57% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PDX that day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5204 · ABQ → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?