Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5773 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

OO 5773 · DEN → ASE

departs 4:03 PM MT · arrives 5:01 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2.33333 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5773 · DEN → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?