Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6221
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
OO 6221 · DFW → TUL
departs 2:09 PM CT · arrives 3:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sun 11/15
Tue 11/17 20%
Thu 11/19 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.42 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.