Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6306
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
OO 6306 · MTJ → DFW
departs 1:09 PM MT · arrives 4:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sat 11/14 33%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 24%
Tue 11/17 20%
Wed 11/18 20%
Thu 11/19 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave MTJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MTJ
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MTJ (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.