UA 1179 · IAH → AUS

departs 10:15 PM CT · arrives 11:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling633 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.08 in

AUS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1179 · IAH → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?