UA 1477 · IAH → SAT

departs 6:11 PM CT · arrives 7:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±5 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling633 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.08 in

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1477 · IAH → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?