UA 1722 · KOA → SFO

departs 1:03 PM HT · arrives 8:08 PM PT

Your aircraft is N77543 (B39M), coming in as UA 1721 from SFO: in the air, landing about 11:32 AM HT, 86 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

88% chance · ±0 pts +37 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
33%
Over 2 hours late
26%
Cancelled
25%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ FAA ground stop on flights into SFO, scheduled until 9:59pm

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↓ KOA usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

Weather at each end

KOA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1722 · KOA → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?