UA 2088 · SJU → ORD

departs 4:53 PM AT · arrives 8:12 PM CT

Your aircraft is N44550 (A21N), coming in as UA 1996 from ORD: landed 3:26 PM AT.

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from SJU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2088 · SJU → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?