UA 219 · ORD → HNL

took off 10:08 AM CT · expected to land 2:40 PM HT (scheduled 9:25 AM CT → 2:27 PM HT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

LIVE

On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 219 · ORD → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?