UA 2230 · ORD → CLE

departs 12:52 PM CT · arrives 3:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2230 · ORD → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?