UA 2247 · IAH → MEX

departs 8:06 PM CT · arrives 10:39 PM CST

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MEX more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEX?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEX

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.07 in

MEX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2247 · IAH → MEX

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEX?