Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2449 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2449 · PHX → SFO

departs 7:59 AM MT · arrives 9:15 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 60h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
58% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SFO?

  1. On time or early
    42%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    32%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.