UA 2476 · DEN → CLE

departs 1:55 PM MT · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +26 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DEN that day

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2476 · DEN → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?