UA 2661 · SFO → RSW

departs 12:43 PM PT · arrives 9:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ 12pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.31 in

RSW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2661 · SFO → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?