UA 2764 · SFO → BUR

departs 4:10 PM PT · arrives 5:36 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

83% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
15%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.31 in

BUR (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2764 · SFO → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?