Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 465 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

UA 465 · IAH → IND

departs 7:59 PM CT · arrives 11:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±8 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 7pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.70 in

IND (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 465 · IAH → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?