UA 696 · DEN → GPI

departs 7:30 PM MT · arrives 11:52 PM -05

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at GPI more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GPI?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ Arrivals into GPI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

GPI (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 696 · DEN → GPI

Odds over time

How late will it get to GPI?