Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 751 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

UA 751 · ORD → PDX

departs 9:14 AM CT · arrives 11:48 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±3 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↑ 9am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 751 · ORD → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?