UA 909 · ORD → AMS

departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 9:33 AM CET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at AMS more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AMS?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AMS (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 909 · ORD → AMS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AMS?