Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1140
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1140 · RSW → CMH
departs 8:12 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 31%
Thu 11/19 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from RSW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CMH (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.