WN 1146 · BWI → RSW

departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 6:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1146 · BWI → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?