Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1211 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15

WN 1211 · GRR → MDW

departs 1:17 PM ET · arrives 1:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from GRR are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1211 · GRR → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?