Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1283
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1283 · RSW → IND
departs 8:53 PM ET · arrives 11:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 25%
Tue 11/17 22%
Wed 11/18 25%
Thu 11/19 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into IND at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.