Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1304
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1304 · CRP → HOU
departs 11:16 AM CT · arrives 12:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 14%
Thu 11/19 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↓
CRP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CRP (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.25 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.