Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1384
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1384 · DAL → STL
departs 4:48 PM CT · arrives 6:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 27%
Thu 11/19 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.43 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.