Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1401 · DAL → LAX
departs 7:54 PM CT · arrives 9:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Sat 11/14 53%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 45%
Tue 11/17 49%
Wed 11/18 44%
Thu 11/19 57%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 59% · changed – in 24h
–
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.43 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.