Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1425 · DAL → MCO
departs 4:40 PM CT · arrives 8:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Sat 11/14 36%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.43 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.