Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1465
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1465 · DAL → PNS
departs 3:37 PM CT · arrives 5:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 27%
Thu 11/19 41%
Fri 11/20 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at PNS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PNS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.45 in
PNS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.