Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1506
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1506 · SAT → DAL
departs 5:52 PM CT · arrives 7:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Thu 11/19 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.65 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.