Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1528 LANDED 2:19 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 15 Today

WN 1528 · DAL → AMA

took off 1:23 AM CT · landed 2:19 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at AMA that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.01 in

AMA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1528 · DAL → AMA

Odds over time