Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 155
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 155 · DEN → SJC
departs 6:28 PM MT · arrives 8:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 36%
Tue 11/17 39%
Wed 11/18 32%
Thu 11/19 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±11 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed – in 24h
–
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.