WN 1567 · DEN → AUS

departs 8:42 PM MT · arrives 11:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DEN that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1567 · DEN → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?