WN 1585 · DEN → BUR

departs 8:20 PM MT · arrives 9:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DEN that day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1585 · DEN → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?