Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1585
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1585 · HOU → DEN
departs 6:12 PM CT · arrives 7:39 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 32%
Wed 11/18 31%
Thu 11/19 39%
Fri 11/20 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.78 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.