Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1588
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1588 · DEN → BWI
departs 7:03 PM MT · arrives 12:36 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 32%
Tue 11/17 32%
Wed 11/18 30%
Thu 11/19 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.