Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1595
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1595 · LGB → DEN
departs 2:31 PM PT · arrives 5:52 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 26%
Thu 11/19 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.