Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1622 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow

WN 1622 · DEN → PHL

departs 6:48 PM MT · arrives 12:33 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1622 · DEN → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?