Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1716
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1716 · DEN → MSY
departs 3:02 PM MT · arrives 6:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 29%
Thu 11/19 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSY (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.