Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 1758 · CMH → DAL
departs 5:16 PM ET · arrives 6:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 25%
Thu 11/19 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,233 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.