WN 1828 · DEN → SNA

departs 4:41 PM MT · arrives 6:08 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
42%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1828 · DEN → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?