Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1844
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1844 · DEN → STL
departs 7:18 PM MT · arrives 10:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 34%
Wed 11/18 28%
Thu 11/19 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
STL (destination)
Gusts 2 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.