WN 1892 · DAL → ELP

departs 5:32 PM CT · arrives 6:26 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±2 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.65 in

ELP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1892 · DAL → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?