Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15 Tomorrow
WN 1963 · GSP → BNA
departs 8:46 PM ET · arrives 9:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 23%
Thu 11/19 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave GSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GSP
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
GSP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.