Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2008 · HNL → KOA
departs 1:31 PM HT · arrives 2:35 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 11/14 12%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 19%
Tue 11/17 17%
Wed 11/18 16%
Thu 11/19 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at KOA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to KOA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
Arrivals into KOA at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
KOA (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.