Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 8, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 15
WN 2026 · HNL → OAK
departs 3:16 PM HT · arrives 10:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Sat 11/14 23%
Sun 11/15
Mon 11/16 18%
Tue 11/17 16%
Wed 11/18 19%
Thu 11/19 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.